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Question at below a) Find the prob that tomorrow price is grater than 120 TL b) What can you say about expected value and variance

Question at below

a) Find the prob that tomorrow price is grater than 120 TL

b) What can you say about expected value and variance

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2. Modeling Asset Returns-The log-normal distribution The log-normal distribution is given by 1 [tax[i132 2 2 for): x0 21:9 a ,x>0 0, elsewhere 2 With Eur) = 90\"" f2} and variance var(X) = 9.02 (es: 1)e2\" Logarithmic asset returns r have been historically modeled as normally distributed such that the related asset prices are modeled by a log-normal distribution. That is, let P, denote today's asset price and, irthennore, let the daily return r be N (u, 02). Then, in a simplified fashion, tomorrow's price is given by P,+1 = Pt - e'\" while the percent change between the two prices, er , is log-normally distributed, that is Ln(u, oz). Consider a very simplied stock price model. Let SD = 100 TL be today's stock price of some company. Model the 1-day dynamic X as S1 = $0 -ex with a normal distribution. You can derive that the ratio of tomorrow's price over today's price is given by :1 = ex follows a log-normal distribution with parameters pi and a. That is, 0 ~LN (p, 52). 50 :1) Find the probability that tomorrow's price is greater than 120 TL. b) What can you say about the expected value and variance of (2D

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