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QUESTION ONE a) A stock is currently traded at 70 and is expected to pay a dividend of 2.5 per share in 3 and 6
QUESTION ONE a) A stock is currently traded at 70 and is expected to pay a dividend of 2.5 per share in 3 and 6 months from now. The risk-free interest rates for 3-, 6, and 9-month maturities are 3%, 4%, and 6%, respectively with continuous compounding. An investor has just taken a long position in a 9- month forward contract on the above stock. i. What is the forward price and the initial value of the forward contract? (3 marks) ii. Three months later, the price of the stock is 72, and the term structure of interest rates remains unchanged. What is the new forward price and the value of the forward contract? (7 marks) iii. Briefly discuss the challenges related to the real-life implementation of arbitrage on dividend-paying stocks. (5 marks) b) A non-dividend paying stock is currently traded for 95. A one-month European put option written on the stock with a strike price of 105 is currently selling for 6. The risk-free interest rate is 6.5% per annum. What opportunities does this create for an arbitrageur? (15 marks) c) Discuss the meaning of contango and backwardation in commodity markets. Link your discussion to the theory of storage. (10 marks) d) A soybeans producer makes the following statement: My real fear is not the price of soybeans but rather the possibility of adverse weather that would wipe out my production. For this reason, I decided not to hedge. Discuss the above statement (Hint: Express your view on whether the producer is right by providing arguments). (10 marks) [TOTAL: 50 marks] END OF QUESTION ONE
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