Question text

Two-Year-Ahead Forecasting of Financial Statement Following are the financial statements of Target Corporation from its FY2015 annual report.

Target Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Operations
		12 Months Ended
$millions		Jan. 30, 2016	Jan. 31, 2015	Feb. 01, 2014
Sales		75,285	72,618	71,279
Cost of sales		53,076	51,278	50,039
Gross margin		22,209	21,340	21,240
Selling, general and administrative expenses		14,982	14,676	14,465
Depreciation and amortization		2,213	2,129	1,996
Gain on sale		(620)	-	(319)
Earnings from continuing operations before interest expense & income taxes		5,634	4,535	5,170
Net interest expense		607	882	1,049
Earnings from continuing operations before income taxes		5,027	3,653	4,121
Provision for income taxes		1,634	1,204	1,427
Net earnings from continuing operations		3,393	2,449	2,694
Discontinued operations, net of tax		42	(4,085)	(723)
Net earnings (loss)		3,435	(1,636)	1,971

Target Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
$millions		Jan. 30, 2016	Jan. 31, 2015
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents, inc. short-term investments of $3,008 and $1,520		$4,046	$2,210
Inventory		8,601	8,282
Assets of discontinued operations		322	1,058
Other current assets		1,161	2,074
Total current assets		14,130	13,624
Property and equipment, net		25,517	25,952
Noncurrent assets of discontinued operations		75	717
Other noncurrent assets		840	879
Total assets		$40,562	$41,172
Liabilities and Shareholders' investment
Accounts payable		$7,418	$7,759
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities		4,236	3,783
Current portion of LT debt and other borrowings		815	91
Liabilities of discontinued operations		153	103
Total current liabilities		12,622	11,736
Long-term debt and other borrowings		11,945	12,634
Deferred income taxes		823	1,160
Noncurrent liabilities of discontinued operations		18	193
Other noncurrent liabilities		1,897	1,452
Total noncurrent liabilities		14,683	15,439
Shareholders' investment
Common stock		50	53
Additional paid-in-capital		5,348	4,899
Retained earnings		8,488	9,644
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
Pension and other benefit liabilities		(588)	(561)
Currency translation adjustment and cash flow hedges		(41)	(38)
Total shareholders' investment		13,257	13,997
Total liabilities and shareholders' investment		$40,562	$41,172

We forecast Target's income statement using the following forecast assumptions for both years:

Sales (growth rate)	5%
Cost of sales/Sales	70.5%
Selling, general and administrative expenses/Sales	19.9%
Depreciation and amortization (% of prior year PPE, net)	8.4%
Net interest expense	No change
Provisions for income taxes/Pretax income	32.5%
Assume Target disposes of the net assets from discontinued operations (assets less liabilities)in FY2016 for proceeds of $350 million.

Instructions: Forecast Target's fiscal year ended 2016 and 2017 income statements.

• Use the same forecasting assumptions for both years.
• Round forecasts to $ millions.
• Use rounded figures for subsequent forecast calculations.
• Do not use negative signs with your answers in the income statement

Hint: Forecasted FY2016 gain on sale is computed as proceeds from the disposal of net assets from discontinued operations minus net assets from discontinued operations ($350 million - $226 million). Forecast $0 gain on sale in FY2017.

Target Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Operations
$ millions		FY2016 Est.	FY2017 Est.
Sales		Answer	Answer
Cost of sales		Answer	Answer
Gross margin		Answer	Answer
Selling, general and administrative expenses		Answer	Answer
Depreciation and amortization		Answer	Answer
Gain on sale		Answer	Answer
Earnings from continuing operations before interest and tax		Answer	Answer
Net interest expense		Answer	Answer
Earnings from continuing operations before tax		Answer	Answer
Provisions for income taxes		Answer	Answer
Net earnings		Answer	Answer

We forecast Target's financials using the following forecast assumptions for both year:

Inventory/Sales	11.7%
Other current assets/Sales	1.6%
Other noncurrent assets/Sales	1.1%
Accounts payable/Sales	10.1%
Accrued and other current liabilities/Sales	5.7%
Deferred income taxes/Sales	1.1%
Other noncurrent liabilities/Sales	2.6%
CAPEX/Sales	1.90%
Dividends/Net income	40.5%
Common stock	No change
Additional paid-in capital	No change
Accumulated other comprehensive loss	No change
Current Maturities L-T Debt for 2016	$751
Current Maturities L-T Debt for 2017	$2,251
Current Maturities L-T Debt for 2018	$201
Assume Target buys back common stock at $2,000 million in FY2016 and retires the stock. (Hint: Retained earnings are reduced by the cost of the stock buy back.) No stock buybacks happen in FY2017.

Instructions: Forecast Target's fiscal year ended 2016 and 2017 balance sheets.

• Use the same forecasting assumptions for both years.
• Round forecasts to $ millions.
• Use rounded figures for subsequent forecast calculations.
• Do not use negative signs with your answers in the income statement.

Target Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
$ millions		FY2016 Est.	FY2017 Est.
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents, inc. short-term investments		Answer	Answer
Inventory		Answer	Answer
Other current assets		Answer	Answer
Total current assets		Answer	Answer
Property and equipment, net		Answer	Answer
Other noncurrent assets		Answer	Answer
Total assets		Answer	Answer
Liabilities and Shareholders' investment
Accounts payable		Answer	Answer
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities		Answer	Answer
Current portion of LT debt and other borrowings		Answer	Answer
Total current liabilities		Answer	Answer
Long-term debt and other borrowings		Answer	Answer
Deferred income taxes		Answer	Answer
Other noncurrent liabilities		Answer	Answer
Total noncurrent liabilities		Answer	Answer
Shareholders' investment
Common stock		Answer	Answer
Additional paid-in capital		Answer	Answer
Retained earnings		Answer	Answer
Accumulated other comprehensive loss		Answer	Answer
Total shareholders' investment		Answer	Answer
Total liabilities and shareholders' investment		Answer	Answer

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