Question
Randy is an insurance adjuster for a national auto insurance company. Using historical insurance claim data, Randy has built an insurance fraud detection model with
Randy is an insurance adjuster for a national auto insurance company. Using historical insurance claim data, Randy has built an insurance fraud detection model with the help of a data analyst. Applying the model on the validation data set generated the following confusion matrix. A fraudulent insurance claim is a Class 1 case while a nonfraudulent claim is a Class 0 case.
Actual Class | Predicted Class 1 | Predicted Class 0 |
Class 1 | 254 | 10 |
Class 0 | 87 | 649 |
The confusion matrix was generated based on a 0.50 cut off rate. If the cost of missing a fraudulent insurance claim is much higher than the cost of investigating a potentially fraudulent insurance claim, should the cutoff rate be increase or decreased when classifying claims? Explain your answer.
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