Question
Regression Assignment In this question you will use the data in growth.xlsx below. The growth worksheet gives the average growth rate of different countries from
Regression Assignment
In this question you will use the data in "growth.xlsx" below. The "growth" worksheet gives the average growth rate of different countries from 1960-95 (growth), the value of gdp per capita in 1960 converted to 1960
$US (rgdp60), the average number of years of schooling of adult residents in 1960 (yearschool) and the averagenumberofrevolutions,insurrections,andcoupd'etatsfrom1960-95(rev-coups).Asananalytics consultant you are expected to develop a model for World Bank to explain the growth of a country between years 1960 and1995.
World Bank hypothesized the following model:
Growth=b0+b1rgdp60+b2yearschool+b3rev-coups+e
- (2 point) Using SPSS or Excel, construct a scatterplot for growth and rgdp60, growth and yearschool andgrowthandrev-coups.Attachyourscatterplots.Interpretscatterplotstoexplaintherelationship between each independent variable and the dependentvariable.
- (3 points) Using SPSS or Excel, run the regression to estimate the unknown parametersb0,b1,b2
andb3 . Report your least squares prediction equation. Attach your output from SPSS or Excel.
- (3points)Istheresufficientevidencethattheoverallmodelisusefulforpredictinggrowth?Testusing
a= 0.01.
- (3points)Testthehypothesisthatthemeangrowthrateincreasesastheaveragenumberofyearsof schooling of adult residents in 1960 increases when rgdp60 and rev-coups held constant.Use
a= 0.01.
- (2 points) Report and interpret the value ofR2.
- (2points)Usethemodeldevelopedinpartbtogiveapointestimateforthemeangrowthrateforall countries with rgdp is at level $9000, yearschool is at level 8 and rev-coups is at level0.
country_name | growth | rgdp60 | yearsschool | rev_coups |
India | 1.915168 | 765.9998169 | 1.450000048 | 0.13333334 |
Argentina | 0.617645 | 4462.001465 | 4.989999771 | 0.933333337 |
Japan | 4.304759 | 2953.999512 | 6.710000038 | 0 |
Brazil | 2.930097 | 1783.999878 | 2.890000105 | 0.100000001 |
United States | 1.712265 | 9895.003906 | 8.659999847 | 0 |
Bangladesh | 0.708263 | 951.9998169 | 0.790000021 | 0.306481481 |
Spain | 2.880327 | 3123.001465 | 3.799999952 | 0.06666667 |
Colombia | 2.227014 | 1684.000366 | 2.970000029 | 0.100000001 |
Peru | 0.060206 | 2019.000244 | 3.019999981 | 0.266666681 |
Haiti | -0.65793 | 923.999939 | 0.699999988 | 0.374074072 |
Australia | 1.975147 | 7782.002441 | 9.029999733 | 0 |
Italy | 2.932981 | 4564.000488 | 4.559999943 | 0.033333335 |
Greece | 3.22405 | 2093 | 4.369999886 | 0.166666672 |
France | 2.431281 | 5823.000488 | 4.650000095 | 0 |
Zaire | -2.81194 | 488.9999084 | 0.540000021 | 0.148148149 |
Uruguay | 1.025309 | 3967.999756 | 5.070000172 | 0 |
Mexico | 1.973942 | 2836.000244 | 2.410000086 | 0 |
Pakistan | 2.698163 | 638 | 0.629999995 | 0.266666681 |
Niger | -2.75148 | 531.9998779 | 0.200000003 | 0.13333334 |
Bolivia | 0.355058 | 1147.999756 | 4.679999828 | 0.970370352 |
Germany | 2.453688 | 6569.998535 | 7.639999866 | 0.06666667 |
Canada | 2.385988 | 7257.99707 | 8.069999695 | 0 |
United Kingdom | 1.962219 | 6822.999023 | 7.670000076 | 0.266666681 |
New Zealand | 1.124132 | 7960.000977 | 9.550000191 | 0 |
Philippines | 1.158741 | 1133 | 3.769999981 | 0.733333349 |
Finland | 2.798494 | 5291.001953 | 7.510000229 | 0 |
Venezuela | -0.88355 | 6337.998047 | 2.529999971 | 0.266666681 |
Korea, Republic of | 7.156855 | 904.000061 | 3.230000019 | 0.333333343 |
Guatemala | 0.929231 | 1659.999756 | 1.419999957 | 0.540740728 |
Honduras | 0.597785 | 1038.999878 | 1.690000057 | 0.266666681 |
El Salvador | -0.60756 | 1426.999878 | 1.700000048 | 0.633333325 |
Chile | 1.446995 | 2885.000488 | 4.989999771 | 0.166666672 |
Thailand | 4.876695 | 943 | 3.450000048 | 0.400000006 |
Sweden | 1.888134 | 7592.002441 | 7.670000076 | 0 |
Senegal | -0.43782 | 1047.000122 | 1.620000005 | 0.033333335 |
Trinidad and Tobago | 1.120786 | 5627.001953 | 4.309999943 | 0.033333335 |
Ecuador | 2.388093 | 1460.999634 | 2.950000048 | 0.533333361 |
Denmark | 2.17937 | 6759.999023 | 10.06999969 | 0 |
Switzerland | 1.421865 | 9408.99707 | 6.869999886 | 0 |
Austria | 2.889185 | 5143.000977 | 3.650000095 | 0 |
Zimbabwe | 0.838156 | 988.9998779 | 1.539999962 | 0.200000003 |
Paraguay | 2.381932 | 1176.999878 | 3.349999905 | 0.06666667 |
Costa Rica | 1.613697 | 2096.000244 | 3.920000076 | 0 |
Portugal | 3.64731 | 1869 | 1.940000057 | 0.233333334 |
Togo | 0.462775 | 366.999939 | 0.270000011 | 0.166666672 |
Iceland | 3.012389 | 4963.998535 | 5.630000114 | 0 |
Israel | 2.810969 | 3476.999268 | 6.989999771 | 0.06666667 |
South Africa | 0.392021 | 2191.000244 | 4.059999943 | 0.100000001 |
Norway | 3.182494 | 5610.000488 | 5.559999943 | 0 |
Sierra Leone | -0.33983 | 877.999939 | 0.529999971 | 0.474074066 |
Dominican Republic | 2.498769 | 1194.999756 | 2.380000114 | 0.300000012 |
Ghana | -0.96316 | 894 | 0.689999998 | 0.437037051 |
Sri Lanka | 2.704598 | 1258.999878 | 3.430000067 | 0.200000003 |
Taiwan, China | 6.624734 | 1256 | 3.319999933 | 0.033333335 |
Panama | 2.027189 | 1574.999878 | 4.260000229 | 0.13333334 |
Papua New Guinea | 1.120371 | 1235.000122 | 1.129999995 | 0.033333335 |
Kenya | 1.962509 | 659.000061 | 1.200000048 | 0.033333335 |
Ireland | 3.254494 | 3310.999023 | 6.449999809 | 0 |
Jamaica | 0.41779 | 1772.999878 | 2.460000038 | 0 |
Netherlands | 2.200577 | 6076.99707 | 5.269999981 | 0 |
Cyprus | 5.384184 | 2037.000366 | 4.289999962 | 0.100000001 |
Malaysia | 4.114544 | 1420.000244 | 2.339999914 | 0.033333335 |
Belgium | 2.651335 | 5495.001953 | 7.460000038 | 0 |
Mauritius | 3.024178 | 2861.999268 | 2.440000057 | 0 |
parameter | description | |||
growth | average annual % growth of real GDP from 1960-95 | |||
rgdp 60 | value of GDP per capita in 1960, converted to 1960 $US | |||
yearsschool | average # of years of schooling of adult residents in 1960 | |||
rev_coups | average # of revolutions, insurrections and coup d'etats from 1960-95 |
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