Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To

Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an assets expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence.

Consider the following case:

Ian owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Celestial Crane Cosmetology Company (CCC) and Lumbering Ox Lumber Mill (LOT). Three-quarters of Ians portfolio value consists of CCCs shares, and the balance consists of LOTs shares.

Each stocks expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table:

Market Condition

Probability of Occurrence

Celestial Crane Cosmetology

Lumbering Ox Lumber Mill

Strong 25% 30% 42%
Normal 45% 18% 24%
Weak 30% -24% -30%

Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in Ians portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the three possible market conditions next year.

The expected rate of return on Celestial Crane Cosmetology s stock over the next year is:

A.10.08%

B.7.14%

C.8.40%

D.11.34%

The expected rate of return on Lumbering Ox Lumber Mills stock over the next year is:

A.8.00%

B.13.90%

C.15.25%

D.12.30%

The expected rate of return on Ians portfolio over the next year is:

A.12.66%

B.9.38%

C.11.26%

D.7.97%

The expected returns for Ians portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous probability distribution graph.

For example, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph:

Based on the graphs information, which of the following statements is true?

A. Company A has lower risk.

B. Company B has lower risk.

Thank you for answering my question. Please pick option A,B or C for each question

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Inclusive And Sustainable Finance Leadership Ethics And Culture

Authors: Atul K. Shah

1st Edition

0367759403, 978-0367759407

More Books

Students also viewed these Finance questions