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Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average ( mean ) value expected to occur during all possible

Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an assets expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence.
Consider the following case:
Van owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM) and Hungry Whale Electronics (HWE). Three-quarters of Vans portfolio value consists of Blue Llama Minings shares, and the balance consists of Hungry Whale Electronicss shares.
Each stocks expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table:
Market Condition
Probability of
BLM
HWE
Occurrence
Strong 20%50%70%
Normal 35%30%40%
Weak 45%-40%-50%
Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in Vans portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the three possible market conditions next year.
The expected rate of return on Blue Llama Minings stock over the next year is __________.
The expected rate of return on Hungry Whale Electronicss stock over the next year is ________.
The expected rate of return on Vans portfolio over the next year is _______.

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