Question
Researchers examined forecasters' interest rate predictions for 34 quarters to see whether the predictions corresponded to what actually happened. The 2 2 contingency table below
Researchers examined forecasters' interest rate predictions for 34 quarters to see whether the predictions corresponded to what actually happened. The 2 2 contingency table below shows the frequencies of actual and predicted interest rate movements.
Interest Rate Forecast Accuracy
Actual Change
Decline Rise
Forecast Change (A) (A+) Row Total
Decline (F) 7 12 19
Rise (F+) 9 6 15
Column Total 16 18 34
Calculate each probability (i-vi)
(Round your answers to 4 decimal places.):
i. P(F-)
ii. P(A+)
iii. P(A- | F-)
iv. P(A+ | F+)
v. P(A+ and F+)
vi. P(A- and F-)
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