Question
Respond to each of the items using the following time series data. Period Demand 1 20 2 46 3 25 4 9 5 17 6
Respond to each of the items using the following time series data.
Period | Demand |
1 | 20 |
2 | 46 |
3 | 25 |
4 | 9 |
5 | 17 |
6 | 8 |
7 | 19 |
8 | 34 |
9 | 39 |
10 | 4 |
11 | 30 |
12 | 23 |
13 | 10 |
14 | 27 |
b. Compute all possible forecasts using exponential smoothing with a smoothing coefficient () of 0.3. (Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)
Period | Demand | Exponential Smooth | Error | Absolute Error |
1 | 20 | |||
2 | 46 | |||
3 | 25 | |||
4 | 9 | |||
5 | 17 | |||
6 | 8 | |||
7 | 19 | |||
8 | 34 | |||
9 | 39 | |||
10 | 4 | |||
11 | 30 | |||
12 | 23 | |||
13 | 10 | |||
14 | 27 | |||
15 |
c. Compute all possible forecasts using exponential smoothing with a smoothing coefficient () of 0.7. (Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)
Period | Demand | Exponential Smooth | Error | Absolute Error |
1 | 20 | |||
2 | 46 | |||
3 | 25 | |||
4 | 9 | |||
5 | 17 | |||
6 | 8 | |||
7 | 19 | |||
8 | 34 | |||
9 | 39 | |||
10 | 4 | |||
11 | 30 | |||
12 | 23 | |||
13 | 10 | |||
14 | 27 | |||
15 |
d. Compute the MADs for each forecast model. (Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)
Average Forecast | |
For an alpha of 0.3, the MAD | |
For an alpha of 0.7, the MAD |
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