(Return x Deviation (R - Squared P x (R-Expected Scenario BTIRR Probability (P) Probability) Expected R) Deviation R)sq Pessimistic (20%) 11.01% 25% 2.75% 8.26% 0.68% 0.1705% Most Likely (15%) 11.01% 40% 4.40% 6.61% 0.44% 0.1746% Optimistic (10%) 11.01% 10% 1.10% 9.91% 0.98% 0.0982% Expected Return 11.01% Variance 3.99% Standard Deviation 0.16% Coefficient of Variation 0.02%