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Same as #1, except your past data should use the past 10 years data for that week. For example, if you are predicting the first
- Same as #1, except your past data should use the past 10 years data for that week. For example, if you are predicting the first week of March, use the 1st week of March from last year, 1st week of March from 2 years ago, etc. (This assumes that seasonal effects dominate):
- the nave method
- the average method
- the drift method
For each method, show:
- the data you used in numerical form,
- the equation you used to calculate your 3 forecasts, and
- a graph of the data and the forecast. The graph should be well-labeled and visually easy to read.
year Total Gross | % LY | Releases | Average | #1 Release |
---|
2022 | $5,343,733,498 | - | 327 | $16,341,692 | Top Gun: Maverick |
2021 | $4,482,795,864 | +112.1% | 439 | $10,211,380 | Spider-Man: No Way Home |
2020 | $2,113,846,800 | -81.4% | 456 | $4,635,628 | Bad Boys for Life |
2019 | $11,363,360,031 | -4.4% | 910 | $12,487,208 | Avengers: Endgame |
2018 | $11,892,160,011 | +7.4% | 993 | $11,975,991 | Black Panther |
2017 | $11,075,387,520 | -2.6% | 854 | $12,968,837 | Star Wars: Episode VIII - The Last Jedi |
2016 | $11,375,225,455 | +2% | 855 | $13,304,357 | Finding Dory |
2015 | $11,148,852,953 | +7.5% | 845 | $13,193,908 | Jurassic World |
2014 | $10,368,861,849 | -5.4% | 849 | $12,213,029 | Guardians of the Galaxy |
2013 | $10,955,524,800 | +1% | 826 | $13,263,347 | Iron Man 3 |
2012 | $10,843,641,372 | +6.8% | 807 | $13,436,978 | The Avengers |
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