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Scenario 2 : Delay project initiation for test marketing What is the project's NPV under Scenario 2 ? - - > NPV with delay for

Scenario 2: Delay project initiation for test marketing
What is the project's NPV under Scenario 2?
--> NPV with delay for test marketing:Scenario 2: Valuation of a project with a delay for test marketing
WaveRider Surfboards is considering a one-year test marketing phase for its new surfboard
model, requiring an upfront investment of $20,000. The management team estimates a 50%
chance of success, which would indicate strong market demand, and a 50% chance of
underperformance. Should the test marketing prove successful, WaveRider plans to invest
$500,000 in year 1 to construct a facility for mass production, with projected annual profits of
$250,000 starting from year 2 for five years. However, if the test marketing fails, the company
may still proceed with the $500,000 investment, but the expected annual cash flows would be
projected to be $150,000 from year 2 for five years. Regardless of the outcome of the test
marketing, WaveRider has the option to discontinue the project at no additional cost in Year
The cost of capital is 10%.
What is the project's NPV under Scenario 2?
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