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Scenario: Your hospital has an opportunity to participate with an Accountable Care Organization (ACO) contract with 50,000 ACO patients. The ACO patient population expects about

Scenario: Your hospital has an opportunity to participate with an Accountable Care Organization (ACO) contract with 50,000 ACO patients. The ACO patient population expects about 5,000 avoidable hospitalizations per year with a potential savings of $50 million, which will be shared 50% revenue to the insurer and 50% revenue to the hospital. The ACO patient population will require an average of 6 office visits per year, and 300,000 total office visits will need to be supplied by your primary care workforce.

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ACO revenue: Number of ACO patients 50,000 Potential savings: Number of avoidable hospitalizations per patient Total avoidable hospitalizations per year Cost per avoidable hospitalization Total cost of avoidable hospitalizations 0.1 5,000 $10,000 $50,000,000 Demand for healthcare/utilization: Number of office visits per patient 6 Total office visits per year 300,000 Supply of workforce/expense: Employed providers (salary) Physician salary per year Nurse practitioner salary per year Contracted providers (fee-for-service) Physician fee per visit Nurse practitioner fee per visit Productivity: Physician visits per year Nurse practitioner visits per year Financial incentives: Salary bonus to ensure efficiency Bonus fee per visit to ensure efficiency $200,000 $100,000 $100 $50 3,000 2,000 10% $1 ACO revenue: Number of ACO patients 50,000 Potential savings: Number of avoidable hospitalizations per patient Total avoidable hospitalizations per year Cost per avoidable hospitalization Total cost of avoidable hospitalizations 0.1 5,000 $10,000 $50,000,000 Demand for healthcare/utilization: Number of office visits per patient 6 Total office visits per year 300,000 Supply of workforce/expense: Employed providers (salary) Physician salary per year Nurse practitioner salary per year Contracted providers (fee-for-service) Physician fee per visit Nurse practitioner fee per visit Productivity: Physician visits per year Nurse practitioner visits per year Financial incentives: Salary bonus to ensure efficiency Bonus fee per visit to ensure efficiency $200,000 $100,000 $100 $50 3,000 2,000 10% $1

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