scescribed in 'Developing a Forecast', financial analysts develop the financial forecast to reflect their investment Thesis. nalysts cast a 'Judgmental forecast' expressing a point of view communicated through an explicit quantitative model as described in Row 66 in 'Intro to Forecasting'. Lew is the summary of the Credit Suisse Snancial forecast for Microsoft as presented alongside the investment Thesis we showed you earlier. Microsoft recently iswed a press release saving that it would not meet prior guidance for FO3/March2020. between $10.75 and $11.15 billion, which included a wider than usual range to reflect uncertainty related to the public health sifusion in China. Nithough we see strone Windows demand in line with our erpectations, the supply chaln is returning to normal operations at a slower pace than anticioated at the time of our Q2 earningscall, As a result, for the third quarter of fiscal vear 2020, we do not expect to meet our More Personal Computing setment guidance as Windows OEM ind Surface are more negatively impacted than previously anticipated. Al other components of our QQ3 Ruldance remain unchanged." You are bearish' and hive oreat concerns that theie necotive trends wil perist. What is the best choice of growth rates to demonstrate the most necative cutlook? You decide to stick your reck out and make a major call on Microsohts seck