Question
Select 10 publicly trading companies with trading history of at least five years. Get monthly return data for the ten companies for at least five
- Select 10 publicly trading companies with trading history of at least five years.
- Get monthly return data for the ten companies for at least five years (60 months). The returns should be based on adjusted prices and dividends, if any. Get latest five years.
- Get market index return and Fama-French factors, monthly corresponding to the stocks' returns. These are the Rm-Rf, SMB and HML factors. Make sure to match the companies' returns and the FF factors in terms of time range.
- Run regression of each stock's excess returns over the risk-free rate on the market index excess return, i.e., estimate SIM.
- Run regression of each stock's excess returns on the three FF factors.
- Test if the three-factor model explains stock returns better than the SIM.
- compare the R-squares of SIM and 3-factor model.For how many of the 10 stocks does R-square improve with the 3-factor model?
- compare the standard error of estimates. For how many of the 10 stocks does standard error of estimates improve (reduce) under the 3-factor model?
- conduct F-test. Calculate F-statistics for each stock by comparing SIM and 3-factor model regressions.
Where RRSS = residual (error) sum of squares under the SIM
URSS = residual (error) sum of squares under 3-factor model
N = number of observations
k = number of explanatory variables in 3-factor model (=4) including constant.
m = different in number of explanatory variables between SIM and 3-factor model (2).
Critical F can be obtained from F tables at (m, N-k) degrees of freedom. Critical F can also be obtained from MS Excel with the command =f.inv.rt(,m,N-k), where is the level of test such as 5%. Test if the F-stat is significant at 5% level of significance.
For how many of the 10 stocks is F-stat significant?
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