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Select a decision that has been made in a complex decision-making workplace environment. This decision can either be one that you have taken part in
Select a decision that has been made in a complex decision-making workplace environment. This decision can either be one that you have taken part in at your workplace or one that you find from research of real-world examples.
In your analysis of your selected decision, undertake the following:
- Describe the problem/ opportunity requiring a decision.
- Explain the decision-making process using Simon's normative model (intelligence, design, choice, and implementation).
- Discuss the distortions that influenced the quality of the decision. from the following kind Anchoring, framing, availability Heuristic, Confirmation Bias, Commitment Escalation or Hindsight Bias
- Determine the most appropriate decision-making techniques and/or technologies that would best mitigate the identified distortions and address the underlying causes of making low-quality decisions, in turn improving the decision-making process. From the following techniques: Mind Mapping, Dialogue Mapping, Issue- based information system (IBIS), six thinking hats, soft system Methodology, Rich Picture, CATWOE, Conceptual model, comparison of model and real world. - Spreadsheets (Scenario Manager, Goal Seek, Data Table) - Artificial Intelligence (Expert systems, machine Learning) - MCDM Techniques
- Describe how the selected technique/technology can improve the efficiency and effectiveness of future decision-making processes.
Suggested Structure
- Decision Overview
- Provide an overview of the situation.
- Explain the decision that was made
- Decision-Making Process
- Explain the decision-making process at relevant phases.
- It is essential to establish a clear link between the following phases. For instance, the alternatives should be evaluated in the choice phase based on the selection criteria listed in the design phase.
- Reference is not required in this section.
Intelligence Phase
Explain
Design Phase
Explain
Choice Phase
Explain
Implementation Phase
Explain
- 3. Distortions
- Provide at least two distortions.
- State the distortions in a way that is consistent with their definitions.
- References are not required in this section.
- Recommended Decision-Making Techniques/Technologies
- A clear link between recommended decision-making techniques/ technologies and discussed distortions is required.
- Support the recommended techniques/technologies with relevant references
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