Question
Several years ago Bahrain, like other developed Middle East producers of energy, went through some tough times. The softness in energy prices, which continues to
Several years ago Bahrain, like other developed Middle East producers of energy, went through some tough times. The softness in energy prices, which continues to this day, has left the economy unsettled. The most recent period for which we have reliable data is the second quarter of 2018-19. According to the Bahraini Labour Market Regulatory Authority's quarterly reports we have the following numbers for working Bahraini citizens (one BD, or Bahraini dinar, equals $2.67):
Indicator
2018Q2
2019Q2
Employment
158,814
153,103
Median Monthly Wage
BD538
BD532
Inflation, Year over Year
0.5%
b) Your next task is to speculate on the direct macroeconomic signals that are contained in these data. Tell me explicitly what the direct signals are about employment and wages in this 12-month period, and be sure to distinguish between real and nominal changes.
c) These data are useful because they may provide indirect signals as well.Speculate on what indirect signals we could get from these data. To assist you in organizing your answer, let me know what these data could mean for households, firms, and the government.If it would help, further assume for the moment you are a Bahraini who runs an automobile dealership - what might these data mean to you?Lastly, what would the behavior you describe in response to these data do to the economy as a whole?
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