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Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that the

Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that the economy and market conditions will be average over the next few years. The company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis:The financial staff of Cairn Communications has identified the following information for the first year of the roll-out of its new proposed services:

Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV Recession 0.05 -$70 million

Below Average 0.20 - 25 million

Average 0.50 12 million

Above Average 0.20 20 million

Boom 0.05 30 million

What is the project's expected NPV, its standard deviation, and its coefficient of variation?

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