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Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project s NPV is $ 1 2 million. This estimate

Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company
estimates the projects NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that the economy and
market conditions will be average over the next few years. The companys CFO,
however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average.
Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis:
Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV
Recession 0.05$70 million
Below average 0.2025 million
Average 0.5012 million
Above average 0.2020 million
Boom 0.0530 million
What are the projects expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation?

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