Question
Sheila Goodman recently received her MBA from the Harvard Business School. She has joined the family business, Goodman Software Products Inc., as Vice-President of Finance.
Sheila Goodman recently received her MBA from the Harvard Business School. She has joined the family business, Goodman Software Products Inc., as Vice-President of Finance. She believes in adjusting projects for risk. Her father is somewhat skeptical but agrees to go along with her. Her approach is somewhat different than the risk-adjusted discount rate approach, but achieves the same objective. She suggests that the inflows for each year of a project be adjusted downward for lack of certainty and then be discounted back at a risk-free rate. The theory is that the adjustment penalty makes the inflows the equivalent of riskless inflows, and therefore a risk-free rate is justified.
A table showing the possible coefficient of variation for an inflow and the associated adjustment factor is shown next:
Coefficient of Variation | Adjustment Factor | ||||
0 | 0.25 | 0.90 | |||
0.26 | 0.50 | 0.80 | |||
0.51 | 0.75 | 0.70 | |||
0.76 | 1.00 | 0.60 | |||
1.01 | 1.25 | 0.50 | |||
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