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Shown here is a decision table from a business situation. The decision maker has an opportunity to purchase sample information in the form of a

Shown here is a decision table from a business situation. The decision maker has an opportunity to purchase sample information in the form of a forecast. With the sample information, the prior probabilities can be revised. Also shown are the probabilities of forecasts from the sample information for each state of nature. Use this information to answer parts (a) through (d).

state of.. ..nature
Alternative s1 (.30) s2 (.70)
alternative d1 $350 -100
alternative d2 -200 325

State of.. ..Nature
Forecast s1 s2
forecast s1 .90 .25
forecast s2 .10 .75

a. Compute the expected monetary value of this decision without sample information.

b. Compute the expected monetary value of this decision with sample information.

c. Use a tree diagram to show the decision options in parts (a) and (b).

d. Calculate the value of the sample information.

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