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Sixty percent (60% = the parameter) of all undergraduate applications to a certain University are from the state that the University is located in. Of

Sixty percent (60% = the parameter) of all undergraduate applications to a certain University are from the state that the University is located in. Of the first 50 undergraduate applicants for the upcoming Fall semester, not a single one is from the state that the University is located in. What is the probability that the next (i.e. the 51st) applicant will be from the state the University is located in?

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Higher than 0.60 (60%)

Lower than 0.60 (60%)

Still 0.60 (60%)

Not 0.60 (60%), but could be higher or lower

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