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So far, the founders have identified periodontists as their initial target market. Periodontists buy bulk chlorhexidine mouthwash for $30/bottle (500 mL) and sell for $60

So far, the founders have identified periodontists as their initial target market. Periodontists buy bulk chlorhexidine mouthwash for $30/bottle (500 mL) and sell for $60 plus shipping. Our product will sell for $45/bottle due to the value of the added benefits. We also estimate that in year 6 our sales will be $254.8 million, which equates to an annual volume of 5.6 million bottles or 27,000 bottles per day. The volume ramp-up schedule is estimated to be:

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
600,000 1.6 million 2.6 million 3.6 million 4.6 million 5.6 million

The founders have also developed estimates of costs for full production, development, and scale-up as follows:

At a volume of 5.6 million per year our per-unit production costs will be:

  • Materials $0.24
  • Labor $0.33
  • Other production overheads (not including equipment) $0.70
  • Other non-production costs:
    • Sales and marketing costs are estimated to be $8 million/year
    • We will need to invest $3.0 million in a new factory and $400,000 in production equipment
  • Other indirect costs (management, accounting, etc.) are 8% of total cost
  • Royalties to USD are 5% of sales
  • Product realization costs prior to launch include:
    1. Product development costs estimated at $4.7 million
    2. Regulatory approval costs estimated at $1.3 million

Using a spreadsheet, complete your cost model (total costs, not per unit) of year 1 production using the following assumptions: (25 points)

  1. Per-unit material, labor, and overhead costs do not change over time
  2. Use straight-line depreciation over a 10-year schedule at 4% interest for buildings
  3. Use double-declining depreciation over a 5-year schedule at 0% interest for equipment
  4. Development and regulatory costs need to be recovered in 5 years equally at 8% interest
  5. Your cost model should culminate in calculating profit margin based on revenue.

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