solve the following

Please work independently on all these problems. You can use your book for guidance. Three possible investments choice you have: Old Reliable Corp stock (A1), Air Cargo Company stock (A2), and federally insured savings certificate (A3). Two possibilities: economy may "boom" (N1) or "bust" (N2) and per your estimation probability of a boom is not that great (p1 = 0.45) while for a bust is more likely (p2 = .65). Outcomes for the three alternatives are expected to be: $2000 in boom or $400 in bust for Old Reliable Corp stock; $5000 in boom, but -$3000 (loss) in bust for Air Cargo Company stock; $3000 for the certificate in either case. Set up a payoff table for this problem, and show which alternative you will choose to invest and why? Using exponential smoothening with a weight of 0.6 on actual values: If sales are $45,000 and $50,000 for 2010 and 2011, what would you forecast for 2012? (The first forecast is equal to the actual value of the preceding year) Given this forecast and actual 2012 sales of $53,000, what would you then forecast for 2013? Suggest your own definitions for (a) motivation and (b) leadership Evaluate yourself and locate which level you are on the Maslow's need hierarchy. Explain why