Question
Something like the purchasing power parity theory has existed throughout the modern history of international economics. The theory keeps resurfacing whenever exchange rates have become
Something like the purchasing power parity theory has
existed throughout the modern history of international
economics. The theory keeps resurfacing whenever
exchange rates have become more variable as a result
of wars or other events. Sometimes the hypothesis is
used as a way of describing how a nation's general
price level must change to reestablish some desired
exchange rate, given the level and trend in foreign
prices. At other times it is used to guess at what the
equilibrium exchange rate will be, given recent trends
in prices within and outside the country. Both of these
interpretations crept into the British "bullionist-
antibullionist" debate during and after the Napoleonic
Wars, when the issue was why Britain had been driven
by the wars to dislodge the pound sterling from its
fixed exchange rates and gold backing, and what
could be done about it.
The PPP hypothesis came into its own in the
1920 s, when Gustav Cassel and others directed it at
the issue of how much European countries would
have to change their official exchange rates or their
domestic price levels, given that World War I had
driven the exchange rates off their prewar par values
and had brought varying percentages of price infla-
tion to different countries. For instance, PPP was a
rough guide to the mistake made by Britain in return-
ing to the prewar gold parity for the pound sterling in
1925 despite greater price inflation in Britain than in
Britain's trading partners.
With the restoration of fixed exchange rates follow-
ing World War II, the PPP hypothesis again faded from
prominence, ostensibly because its defects had been
demonstrated, but mainly because the issue it raised
seemed less compelling as long as exchange rates
were expected to stay fixed.
After the resumption of widespread floating of
exchange rates in the early 1970 s, the hypothesis
has been revived once again. It is now used as a
standard for examining whether countries' curren-
cies are undervalued or overvalued at their market
exchange rates.
Why was the PPP hypothesis less interesting when
the major countries had fixed exchange rates and
similar product-price inflation rates?
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