Question
ssume you are a company operating in one of the following categories: 1. Universal Commercial Bank e.g. Ghana Commercial Bank. 2. Fast Moving Consumer Goods
ssume you are a company operating in one of the following categories: 1. Universal Commercial Bank e.g. Ghana Commercial Bank. 2. Fast Moving Consumer Goods e.g. Nestle 3. Gold Mining e.g. Newmont 4. Telecommunications e.g. Vodafone You are concerned about developments in Ghana and want to get a sense of what the future holds for your operations. Top management therefore requires an analysis to guide decision-making, particularly in terms of political risk. The analysis should result in a socio-political risk report up to the year 2026 to provide a basis for further discussion of Ghana's future. This requires you to generate and assess four scenarios regarding the socio-political future of Ghana out to the year 2026. Your report should include the following: (1) A pinpointing of the most important variables or factors determining the nature of Ghana's socio-political system and its uncertainties. (2) A determination of the critical uncertainties that your chosen company faces and their relative importance. (3) A generation of 4 scenarios desired by top management. In a sense, write "future histories." Each should include descriptions of the necessary factors that make up the scenario and how they are likely to come about. Also, identify the likely consequences for your company of each scenario. (4) An identification of which scenario is most probable and why. (5) A discussion of what the company should do in terms of strategy for this most probable scenario. The report should explain in detail all relevant explanatory factors and be substantiated with relevant literature. All papers will be assessed primarily based on the quality of the methodology, explanatory factors, and the consistency and believability of arguments.
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