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st of land: $ 2 million. Probability of rezoning: 0 . 4 0 . If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for

st of land: $2 million.
Probability of rezoning: 0.40.
If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on, of $1 million.
If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,400 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 60 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 40 percent chance that she can sell it to an insurance company for $4 million over her construction cost (also excluding the land). If, instead of the shopping center, she decides to build the 1,400 apartments, she places probabilities on the profits as follows: There is a 40 percent chance that she can sell the apartments to a real estate investment corporation for $2,500 each over her construction cost; there is a 60 percent chance that she can get $2,300 each over her construction cost. (Both exclude the land cost.)
If the land is not rezoned, she will comply with the existing zoning restrictions and simply build 630 homes, on which she expects to make $4,000 over the construction cost on each one (excluding the cost of land).

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