Start with the partial model in the file Ch13 P18 Build a Model.xlsx. Webmasters.com has developed a powerful new server that would be used for corporations' Internet activities. It would cost $11 million at Year 0 to buy the equipment necessary to manufacture the server. The project would require net working capital at the beginning of each year in an amount equal to 13% of the year's projected sales; for example, NWC₀ = 13%(Sales₁). The servers would sell for $27,500 per unit, and Webmasters believes that variable costs would amount to $20,000 per unit. After Year 1, the sales price and variable costs will increase at the inflation rate of 4%. The company's nonvariable costs would be $1 million at Year 1 and would increase with inflation.

The server project would have a life of 4 years. If the project is undertaken, it must be continued for the entire 4 years. Also, the project's returns are expected to be highly correlated with returns on the firm's other assets. The firm believes it could sell 900 units per year.

The equipment would be depreciated over a 5-year period, using MACRS rates. The estimated market value of the equipment at the end of the project's 4-year life is $700,000. Webmasters.com's federal-plus-state tax rate is 25%. Its cost of capital is 12% for average-risk projects, defined as projects with a coefficient of variation of NPV between 0.8 and 1.2. Low-risk projects are evaluated with a 9% project cost of capital and high-risk projects at 14%.

The correct graph is

graph Agraph Bgraph Cgraph D

.

1. Develop a spreadsheet model, and use it to find the project's NPV, IRR, and payback. Round your answer for the NPV to the nearest dollar and for the IRR and payback to two decimal places.

   NPV	$	fill in the blank 2
   IRR		fill in the blank 3	%
   Regular payback period		fill in the blank 4	years

2. Now conduct a sensitivity analysis to determine the sensitivity of NPV to changes in the sales price, variable costs per unit, and number of units sold. Set these variables' values at 10% and 20% above and below their base-case values. Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Use a minus sign to enter a negative value, if any.

   % Deviation from		NPV with Variables at Different Deviations from Base
   Base Case		Sales Price	Variable Cost per Unit	Number of Units Sold
   -20	%	$ fill in the blank 5	$ fill in the blank 6	$ fill in the blank 7
   -10	%	$ fill in the blank 8	$ fill in the blank 9	$ fill in the blank 10
   0	%	$ fill in the blank 11	$ fill in the blank 12	$ fill in the blank 13
   10	%	$ fill in the blank 14	$ fill in the blank 15	$ fill in the blank 16
   20	%	$ fill in the blank 17	$ fill in the blank 18	$ fill in the blank 19

   Choose the correct graph.

   A.		B.
   C.		D.

3. Now conduct a scenario analysis. Assume that there is a 25% probability that best-case conditions, with each of the variables discussed in Part b being 20% better than its base-case value, will occur. There is a 25% probability of worst-case conditions, with the variables 20% worse than base, and a 50% probability of base-case conditions. Round your answers for the NPV and standard deviation to the nearest dollar and for the coefficient of variation to two decimal places. Use a minus sign to enter a negative value, if any.

   Scenario	NPV
   Best Case	$ fill in the blank 21
   Base Case	$ fill in the blank 22
   Worst Case	$ fill in the blank 23
   Expected NPV	$ fill in the blank 24
   Standard Deviation	$ fill in the blank 25
   Coefficient of Variation	fill in the blank 26

4. If the project appears to be more or less risky than an average project, find its risk-adjusted NPV, IRR, and payback. Round your answer for the NPV to the nearest dollar and for the IRR and payback to two decimal places. Use a minus sign to enter a negative value, if any.

   Risk-adjusted NPV	$	fill in the blank 27
   Risk-adjusted IRR		fill in the blank 28	%
   Risk-adjusted regular payback period		fill in the blank 29	years