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State of Economy Probability Fund Returns Rapid expansion and recovery 5% 100% Modest growth 50% 30% Continued recession 40% 20% Falls into depression 5% 100%

State of Economy

Probability

Fund Returns

Rapid expansion and recovery

5%

100%

Modest growth

50%

30%

Continued recession

40%

20%

Falls into depression

5%

100%

James Fromholtz is considering whether to invest in a newly formed investment fund. The fund's investment objective is to acquire home mortgage securities at what it hopes will be bargain prices. The fund sponsor has suggested to James that the fund's performance will hinge on how the national economy performs in the coming year. Specifically, he suggested the following possible outcomes:James has estimated the expected rate of return from this investment is 23.00

percent. James wants to apply his recently acquired understanding of the security market line concept to his analysis.

a.If the risk-free rate of interest is currently 2.8 percent and the beta for the investment is 3.2, what is the slope of the security market line for the real estate mortgage security investment?

b.James is also considering the investment of his money in a market index fund that has an expected rate of return of 9 percent. What is the slope of the security market line (i.e., the reward-to-risk ratio) for this investment opportunity?

c.Based on your analysis of parts a and b above, which investment should James take? Why?

A. Cannot be determined from the information given in this problem.

B. The market index fund.

C. The real estate portfolio.

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