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State of the Economy Recession Below average Average Above average Probability T-Bills 5.9% 0.1 5.5 0.2 0.1 Returns on Alternative Investments Estimated Rate of Return

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State of the Economy Recession Below average Average Above average Probability T-Bills 5.9% 0.1 5.5 0.2 0.1 Returns on Alternative Investments Estimated Rate of Return High US Tech Collections 270%) 27.0% 60% (7.0 15.0 0.0 30 (11.0) 30.0 410 260 450 21.0 98% 1,0% 188 19 088 -087 2-Stock Portfolio Portfolio a 70%) 100 75 250 80 1A

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