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Stock Valuation at Ragan Engines Input area: Shares owned by each sibling 125,000 Ragan EPS $4.20 Dividend to each sibling $157,500 Ragan ROE 20% Ragan
Stock Valuation at Ragan Engines | |||||||||||
Input area: | |||||||||||
Shares owned by each sibling | 125,000 | ||||||||||
Ragan EPS | $4.20 | ||||||||||
Dividend to each sibling | $157,500 | ||||||||||
Ragan ROE | 20% | ||||||||||
Ragan required return | 16% | ||||||||||
EPS | DPS | Stock price | ROE | R | |||||||
Blue Ribband Motors Corp. | $1.15 | $0.34 | $18.25 | 13.00% | 15.00% | ||||||
Bon Voyage Marine, Inc. | 1.45 | 0.42 | 15.31 | 16.00% | 18.00% | ||||||
Nautilus Marine Engines | (0.21) | 0.60 | 28.72 | N/A | 14.00% | ||||||
Industry average | |||||||||||
Nautilus EPS w/o write-off | $1.85 | ||||||||||
Output area: | |||||||||||
Notes: | |||||||||||
1) | Total earnings | ||||||||||
Payout ratio | = Total Dividends / Total Earnings | ||||||||||
Retention ratio | = (1- Payout ratio) | ||||||||||
Growth rate | = Retention Ratio * ROE | ||||||||||
Total dividends next year | = Last year dividends * growth rate | ||||||||||
Total equity value | Use Dividend Growth Model to find equity value | ||||||||||
Value per share | $- | = total equity / total number of shares | |||||||||
2) | Industry EPS | $1.48 | Industry average DPS / Industry EPS | ||||||||
Industry payout ratio | |||||||||||
Industry retention ratio | = (1- Payout ratio) | ||||||||||
Industry growth rate | |||||||||||
Year | Total dividends | ||||||||||
1 | $- | ||||||||||
2 | $- | ||||||||||
3 | |||||||||||
4 | |||||||||||
5 | |||||||||||
6 | |||||||||||
Stock value in Year 5 | Use Dividend Growth Model to find stock value with 6th year dividend, industry growth rate and industry average R | ||||||||||
Total stock value today | Add (NPV of Total dividends from year 1 to 5) and PV of stock value in year 5 | ||||||||||
Value per share | $- | ||||||||||
3) | Industry PE | ||||||||||
Ragan PE (original assumption) | |||||||||||
Ragan PE (revised assumption) | |||||||||||
Stock price implied by | |||||||||||
industry PE | |||||||||||
4) | Total earnings | = EPS * total number of shares | |||||||||
Cash cow value | = Total earnings / Industry average R | ||||||||||
Percentage not attributable to | = Cash cow value / Total stock value today | ||||||||||
growth opportunities | |||||||||||
Percentage attributable to | |||||||||||
growth opportunities | |||||||||||
5) | ROE | = Industry Growth rate / Retention ratio | |||||||||
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