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Suppose a firm has existing projects with an expected cash flow of $ 9 0 M and Volatility ( sigma ) of $ 2
Suppose a firm has existing projects with an expected cash flow of $M and
Volatility sigma of $M The firm is evaluating whether it should invest in the following
new project:
Initial cost is $M
Expected payoff is $ M in one year; Volatility sigma of the payoff is $M
The correlation of this project with existing firm projects is
The new projects Beta beta
The riskfree rate is and the market risk premium is
The marginal cost of having a cash flow at risk CaR of a given level is
Use CaR
a What is the NPV of the new project?
b How does risk get accounted for in the NPV rule?
c How does risk influence the value of the project? Calculate the economic value of the
project.
d How much does risk matter hint: what is true cost of capital relative to that used in b
e Why does the CaR have a cost? And where does the cost of risk come from?
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