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Suppose a game starts with 3 pound coins in the pot. At each turn the number of coins in the pot is counted and the

Suppose a game starts with
3
pound coins in the pot. At each turn the
number of coins in the pot is counted and the following procedure is repeated K times:
a die is thrown, and according to the outcome the following four things can happen
If the outcome is
1
or
2
the player takes
1
coin from the pot.
If the outcome is
3
nothing happens.
If the outcome is
4
the player puts
1
extra coin in the pot
(
you may assume that
the player has unlimited supply of coins
)
.
If the outcome is
5
or
6
,
the player puts
2
extra coins in the pot.
If there are no coins remains in the pot, the game stops.
(
a
)
Compute the expected number of coins in the pot after turn n in N
.
[
4
]
(
b
)
Compute the probability that the game will stop eventually.
[
4
]
(
c
)
Let mn be the maximal possible number of coins in the pot after the n
-
th turn?
[
7
]
What is the probability that the actual number of coins in the pot after n turns
is equal to mn
1
?

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