Suppose current one-year interest rate in Europe is 5%, whereas one-year interest rate in the U.S. is 3%. Assume the current spot price of euro (EUR) is $1.10. Answer questions a) and b) below.

1. If the exchange rate movement is consistent with the international Fisher effect (IFE), what will the spot price of EUR in one year be?
2. Consider a trader who does not believe the IFE holds. The trader has decided to borrow $110,000 to invest in EUR-denominated deposits for one year without hedging. Recall the current EUR spot rate is $1.10. If the EUR spot rate in one year turns out to be $1.09, what will be the percentage return on this trading strategy?