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Suppose that a financial economist wants to analyse the effect of personal credit history on the likelihood of success of a credit card application. Credit

Suppose that a financial economist wants to analyse the effect of personal credit history on the likelihood of success of a credit card application. Credit history (CH) of an individual can be measured by the indicator that takes on four values {1, 2, 3, 4}, where 1=outstanding, 2=good, 3=intermediate, and 4=poor. Based on this indicator, the financial economist defined a dummy variable for each value of CH as follows: CH1=1 if CH is 'outstanding', and = 0 otherwise; CH2=1 if CH is 'good', and = 0 otherwise; CH3=1 if CH is 'intermediate', and = 0 otherwise; CH4=1 if CH is 'poor', and = 0 otherwise. She then specifies the following model to estimate the effect on the likelihood of success of a credit card application:

CreditCardi = 0 + 1CH1i + 2CH2i + 3CH3i + 4CH4i + Ui (1)

Where CreditCardi is the dummy variable = 1 if the credit card application of individual i was successful, = 0 otherwise.

a) In model (1), does it make sense to hold CH1, CH2 and CH3 fixed, while changing CH4?

b) Explain why model (1) violates the no-perfect-collinearity assumption (i.e., Assumption 3 of the Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM) assumptions).

c) How do you reformulate model (1) so that its parameters have useful interpretations and it satisfies the no-perfect-collinearity assumption?

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