Suppose that Chance Co. believes that movements in the value of the British pound (as measured by percentage change from the previous quarter), efef, are dictated entirely by the inflation rate differential between the pound and the U.S. dollar in the current quarter InftInft. That is, the firm uses the following regression equation to forecast the change in the value of the pound in 3 months:

ef=b0+b1Inft+tef=b0+b1Inft+t

Where tt is the error term and b0b0 is a constant.

Suppose that Chance Co. estimates b0b0 to be 0.0 and b1b1 to be 0.5.

Chance Co. seeks to conduct a sensitivity analysis. The MNC determines that there are 3 possible values for the inflation differential in 3 months, each with a certain probability of occuring. This data is summarized in the following table.

Complete the sensitivity analysis by entering the remaining expected exchange rate movements. Then answer the question that follows.

Possible Value of Inflation Differential	Probability of Occurrence	Expected Exchange Rate Movement
(INFfINFf)		(ef)
1%	10.00%	_____1______percent
2%	80.00%	1
4%	10.00%	_____2_____percent

While the best guess for the expected exchange rate movement is ______3______ percent, the sensitivity analysis specifies the possible other values for the pounds exchange rate movement.