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Suppose that people only care about the expected values of returns of their investment. Consider a discount bond issued by Macys that promises to pay

Suppose that people only care about the expected values of returns of their investment. Consider a discount bond issued by Macys that promises to pay $600 one year from now. Macys is in trouble due to the pandemic and people believe that there is a probability that it will totally default on this bond. The current market price of this Macys bond is $529. Todays yield on one-year zero-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds is 2%.

  1. (3pt) What is the default risk premium of the Macys bond?

  2. (2pt) What is the perceived probability that Macys will default?

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