Question
Suppose that the Phillips curve is given by =t=te+ 0.9*(5.1 - U t ) , where t is the (actual) inflation in year t, te
Suppose that the Phillips curve is given by =t=te+ 0.9*(5.1 - Ut) , where t is the (actual) inflation in year t, te is the expected inflation in year t and Ut is the unemployment rate in year t, all measured in percentages. Note that this is a linear relationship between inflation and unemployment (straight line).
In period t=1, the unemployment rate is equal to the natural rate of unemployment, and the expected inflation is equal to 1.9%.
In period t=2, the authorities decide to bring the unemployment rate down to 4.2% and hold it there forever.
The expected inflation is always equal to the actual inflation in the previous year.
What will the inflation rate be in period t=3?
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