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Suppose that the returns from the stock market and bond market are 1 2 % and 5 % , respectively, in a boom state; 4

Suppose that the returns from the stock market and bond market are 12% and 5%,
respectively, in a boom state; 4% and 3% in a normal state, and -9% and 2%
in a recession state. You invest 80% in the stock market and 20% in the bond
market when you expect a boom state, 50% in both markets when you expect a
normal state, and 20% in the stock market and 80% in the bond market when a
recession state is expected. Use Scenario Manager to find your portfolio return
in three different states.

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