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Suppose that there are two possible states of the world next year: boom or recession. Suppose that we forecast the following probabilities of these states
Suppose that there are two possible states of the world next year: boom or recession. Suppose that we forecast the following probabilities of these states and the returns to two US stocks, CXW (Corrections Corp of America; a prison stock) and AMR (parent of American Airlines). Tell the expected return to a portfolio invested 20% in CXW, and 80% in AMR. Please give your answer to four decimal places.
STATE | Prob. | R(CXW) | R(AMR) |
Boom | 0.75 | -0.1 | 0.25 |
Recession | 0.25 | 0.1 | -0.25 |
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