Question
Suppose that there are two possible states of the world next year: boom or recession. Suppose that we forecast the following probabilities of these states
Suppose that there are two possible states of the world next year: boom or recession. Suppose that we forecast the following probabilities of these states and the returns to two US stocks, CXW (Corrections Corp of America; a prison stock) and AMR (parent of American Airlines). What is the expected return on each stock? Give your answers to four decimal places.
STATE | Prob. | R(CXW) | R(AMR) |
Boom | 0.75 | -0.1 | 0.25 |
Recession | 0.25 | 0.1 | -0.25 |
Choose the correct answer:
A.E[R(CXW)] = 0.1250; E[R(AMR)] = -0.0500
B.E[R(CXW)] = -0.0500; E[R(AMR)] = 0.1250
C.E[R(CXW)] = 0.0000; E[R(AMR)] = 0.0000
D.E[R(CXW)] = 0.0500; E[R(AMR)] = -0.1250
E.E[R(CXW)] = 0.1000; E[R(AMR)] = 0.2500
F. E[R(CXW)] = -0.0500; E[R(AMR)] = -0.0500
G.This queston does not have an economically sensible answer.
H.None of the above is correct.
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