Question
Suppose that today is Monday, February 19, 2024, and you have a loan of $5,000,000 outstanding, on which you will have to make a floating-rate
Suppose that today is Monday, February 19, 2024, and you have a loan of $5,000,000 outstanding, on which you will have to make a floating-rate interest rate payment on Friday, February 23. The interest payment is determined based on a 3-month SOFR rate on that day. You fear that in the next several days the rate might rise. So, you hedge yourself by trading 3-month SOFR futures. Assume that you enter the position at the settle of the day on Monday, February 19.
In order to hedge yourself, which position in 3-month SOFR futures will you take (i.e. buy or sell, contract maturity, and the number of contracts)?
a. What is your daily gain or loss on your futures position (on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday)?
b. What is the interest rate payment that you have to make on Friday, February 23, on your $5,000,000 loan?
c. What is the net cost to you, taking into account the gains/losses on your hedge, plus the interest payment on the loan (ignore the time value of money)?
Daily Settlements for 3-month SOFR Futures (FINAL)Trade Date: 02/20/2024 (Tuesday)
Month | Open | High | Low | Last | Change | Settle | Estimated Volume | Prior Day Open Interest |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DEC 23 | 94.6450 | 94.6475 | 94.6450 | 94.6475 | +.0025 | 94.6475 | 18,990 | 1,128,914 |
JAN 24 | - | - | - | - | +.0025 | 94.6600 | 0 | 6,639 |
FEB 24 | 94.6725 | 94.6775 | 94.6725 | 94.6725 | +.0025 | 94.6775 | 142 | 2,030 |
MAR 24 | 94.7125 | 94.7200 | 94.7075 | 94.7100 | +.0025 | 94.7125 | 297,254 | 1,126,668 |
APR 24 | 94.7950 | 94.7950 | 94.7950 | 94.7800A | +.0025 | 94.7775 | 30 | 1,127 |
Daily Settlements for 3-month SOFR Futures (FINAL)Trade Date: 02/22/2024 (Thursday)
Month | Open | High | Low | Last | Change | Settle | Estimated Volume | Prior Day Open Interest |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DEC 23 | 94.6450 | 94.6475 | 94.6450 | 94.6475 | -.0025 | 94.6450 | 14,461 | 1,127,556 |
JAN 24 | - | - | 94.6550A | 94.6550A | -.0025 | 94.6550 | 0 | 6,641 |
FEB 24 | - | - | 94.6700A | 94.6700A | -.0050 | 94.6700 | 0 | 2,025 |
MAR 24 | 94.6975 | 94.7050 | 94.6925 | 94.6950 | -.0050 | 94.6975 | 446,874 | 1,120,139 |
APR 24 | 94.7600 | 94.7600 | 94.7450A | 94.7450A | -.0100 | 94.7550 | 202 | 1,142 |
Daily Settlements for 3-month SOFR Futures (FINAL)Trade Date: 02/23/2024 (Friday)
Month | Open | High | Low | Last | Change | Settle | Estimated Volume | Prior Day Open Interest |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DEC 23 | 94.6450 | 94.6475 | 94.6450 | 94.6475 | -.0050 | 94.6400 | 15,561 | 1,127,119 |
JAN 24 | - | - | - | - | -.0050 | 94.6500 | 0 | 6,641 |
FEB 24 | - | - | 94.6625A | 94.6625A | -.0050 | 94.6650 | 0 | 2,025 |
MAR 24 | 94.6950 | 94.6975 | 94.6800 | 94.6825 | -.0100 | 94.6875 | 316,812 | 1,129,226 |
APR 24 | 94.7300 | 94.7450 | 94.7300 | 94.7350A | -.0100 | 94.7450 | 25 | 1,252 |
3-month SOFR rate (90-day average):
February 19, 2024 5.35945 %
February 20, 2024 5.35873 %
February 21, 2024 5.35863 %
February 22, 2024 5.35851 %
February 23, 2024 5.35831 %
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