Question
Suppose that today you observe the following interest rates on bonds with differing years to maturity: Years to maturity Interest rate 1 year 1.0 %
Suppose that today you observe the following interest rates on bonds with differing years to maturity:
Years to maturity Interest rate
1 year 1.0 %
2 years 1.5 %
3 years 2.5 %
Assume that the expectations theory is correct, so that there is no term premium for a two-year bond or a three-year bond. From the information above, the expected interest rate on a one-year bond one year from now is 2.00 %. Similarly, the expected interest rate on a one-year bond two years from now is 4.5 %.
Now assume that the liquidity premium theory is correct and that the term premium on the two-year bond is 0.50 %.
In this case,what is the expected interest rate on a one-year bond one year from now will be ? (Round your response to two decimal places.)
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