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Suppose that your biggest concern is spotting economic downturns before they occur and that you are not very worried about accidentally predicting an economic downturn

Suppose that your biggest concern is spotting economic downturns before they occur and that you are not very worried about accidentally predicting an economic downturn when there will actually not be one. Which of these economic indicators would you likely watch most closely? consumer confidence nonfarm payrolls the employment cost index the stock market

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