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Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows: State of the Economy Probability HPR Boom 0.2 37% Normal growth 0.6 22 Recession 0.2
Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows:
State of the Economy | Probability | HPR |
---|---|---|
Boom | 0.2 | 37% |
Normal growth | 0.6 | 22 |
Recession | 0.2 | 20 |
E(r)=ss=1p(s)r(s)==1
Var(r)2=ss=1p(s)[r(s)E(r)]2Var2==1[-]2
SD(r)=Var(r)=Var
Required:
Use above equations to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks.
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