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Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows: State of the Economy Probability HPR Prob. HPR Boom 0.2 37% Normal growth 0.5 17

Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows: State of the Economy Probability HPR

Prob. HPR

Boom 0.2 37%

Normal growth 0.5 17

Recession 0.3 11

E(r)=ss=1p(s)r(s) Var(r)2=ss=1p(s)[r(s)E(r)]2 SD(r)=Var(r)

Required: Use above equations to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks.

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