Supposedly you are a car importer who are about to introduce an affordable electric car to Indonesian market. In order to find the right electric car for Indonesian market, you are considering a multi criteria decision making approach to project the events following your car introduction. There will be three events, namely Smashing success, Success, and Failure for the car you introduce.

1. For a car you introduce, how do you estimate the probability for each event (Smashing success, Success or Failure) using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP)? Draw the decision hierarchy and explain. (Hint: you might consider at least three criteria and sub-criteria, if any, that make an electric car successful in the domestic market; you dont need to perform pairwise comparison to get the solution)
2. Based on the decision hierarchy above, how many pairwise comparison do you need to perform?