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Sway's Back Store is considering a 7-year project which will require the purchase of $2 million in new equipment. The equipment will be depreciated using
- Sway's Back Store is considering a 7-year project which will require the purchase of $2 million in new equipment. The equipment will be depreciated using MACRS method. Sway's Back Store will sell the equipment at the end of the project for a salvage value of $300,000. Annual sales from this project are estimated at $1,050,000 in year 1, and it is expected to grow by 3% each year. The variable cost is 40% of the annual sales and there is an annual fixed cost of $100,000. The store should build an inventory with a value of 10% of next years sales. All of the new net working capital will be recouped at the end of the project. The firm desires a minimal 12% rate of return on this project. The tax rate is 40%.
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- Construct a capital budgeting table and calculate the Free Cash Flow of each year. Hint: you need to find out capital expenditure (1 points) , Salvage Cash Flow (3 points), Change in Net working Capital (3 points), Operating Cash Flows (8 points), and then Free Cash Flow (1 point)
- Calculate the project NPV (3 points), IRR (2 points), Discounted Payback Period (4 points), Modified IRR (3 points)
- Conduct a sensitivity analysis of NPV to the % change of 1st year sales. Hint: You will simulate at least 3 values for 1styear sales and record the corresponding NPV for each of the simulated sales value (6 points). Analysis the sensitivity and interpret the result (4 points)
- Conduct a Scenario analysis of project NPV based on different level of first year sales.
Worst | Base | Best | |
Probability | 20% | 60% | 20% |
1st year sale | $850,000 | $1,050,000 | $1,250,000 |
Please calculate the NPVs of the worst and best cases (4 points) and then the mean and standard deviation of the 3 NPVs (
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