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Talbot Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project s NPV is R 1 2 million. This estimate

Talbot Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company
estimates the projects NPV is R12 million. This estimate assumes that the economy and market
conditions will be average over next few years. The companys CFO, however, forecasts there
is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognising this uncertainty, she has
also performed the following scenario analysis:
Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV
Recession 0.05-R70 million
Below Average 0.20-25 million
Average 0.5012 million
Above average 0.2020 million
Boom 0.0530 million
Required:
What is the projects:
6.1. Expected NPV (2)
6.2. Standard deviation, and (2)
6.3. Coefficient of variance? (

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