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Tax fraud represents a significant economic challenge worldwide. The IRS ( Internal Revenue Service ) is tasked with projecting U . S . tax revenues
Tax fraud represents a significant economic challenge worldwide. The IRS Internal Revenue Service is tasked with projecting US tax revenues over the next decade using historical data from a database that includes citizens' income, age, and race. To achieve a more accurate forecast, the IRS is considering several regression models to analyze the relationship represented by the equation:
PaidTAXAmount fincome age, race e
where i denotes an individual in the income database. Given the complexity of the data, particularly the similarity among highincome individuals which could violate the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives IIA property, the IRS needs to select the most appropriate model for prediction.
Which of these models would be most appropriate for accurately predicting future US tax income?
AMultinomial Probit, due to the potential violation of the IIA property among highincome individuals.
BTobit Regression, to account for censoring effects in the data.
CTruncated Linear Regression, for data that excludes observations beyond certain income thresholds.
DTruncated Linear Regression with a quadratic term income squared to address nonlinear trends in tax amounts paid by
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